WHAT'S NEW?
Loading...

CW Renew/Cancel: The Falling Ratings Conundrum


This week, starting with this CW Renew/Cancel installment, the Watching category no longer exists. Two new categories have replaced the Watching category: Leans Cancelation and Leans Renewal.

These two new categories help give us a better understanding on what a bubble show's fate would be.

And now, the table.


Riverdale has been downgraded to Leans Renewal for the moment. The reason being that studio ownership is in play. CBS shows get renewed at lower relative ratings levels than WB shows. Yet, the CW's falling ratings makes it relatively better.

Again, I do not think that the network would cancel all three of their freshman shows. This gives another positive factor for Riverdale.

It also depends on the relative performance of The 100, The Originals, and iZombie. This is why a slight downgrade is warranted.


TV Ratings 1/30/17: The Odd Couple Ends Fractional, The CW Dips (UPDATED)


Monday night was a relatively normal night for the networks, with just CBS taking the night off. Despite most of CBS' shows being off, The Odd Couple aired two original episodes (including its season finale) last night, and the first episode held steady, while the second went fractional. The Bachelor once again lead the night quite easily, and was down from last week. Quantico, fresh off its return from hiatus, was even with its 0.8 last week. Timeless was also even with last week, while its lead-in, the Celebrity Apprentice, was down. Fox's Monday lineup took their last bow for awhile (they will return after newbies 24:Legacy and APB finish) and Gotham was down. Supergirl on the CW was down, as was Jane the Virgin.

Finals Update: Quantico (-0.1) adjusted down.

Time
Show
18-49 Rating/Share
Viewers (mil)
Channel
8 PM
The Bachelor
2.3/87.19ABC

The Big Bang Theory (R)
1.5/68.49CBS

Gotham
1.1/43.45Fox

The New Celebrity Apprentice
1.0/33.68NBC

Supergirl
0.7/32.33The CW
8:30 PM
Kevin Can Wait (R)
1.2/46.39CBS
9 PM
Lucifer
1.2/44.20Fox

The Odd Couple
1.1/45.76CBS

Jane the Virgin
0.3/10.94The CW
9:30 PM
The Odd Couple (F)
0.9/35.92CBS
10 PM
Timeless
0.9/33.49NBC

Scorpion (R)
0.8/35.26CBS

Quantico
0.7/32.84ABC

TV Ratings 1/29/17: Conviction Ends Low, Miss Universe Down (UPDATED)


Sunday night saw the end of Conviction, Miss Universe, and a regular night for CBS. Conviction, which aired its (likely series) finale, was up from its latest episode. To Tell the Truth, Conviction's lead-in, was also up. Fox's usual programs took a week off for the Miss Universe pageant, which was down from late 2015's 1.6. CBS aired its usual lineup, and they all rose. NBC aired a repeat of the Celebrity Apprentice, which lead into a special Sunday episode of Dateline NBC, which was even with Friday's episode.

Update: To Tell the Truth (+0.1) and NCIS: Los Angeles (+0.1) adjusted up.

Time
Show
18-49 Rating/Share
Viewers (mil)
Channel
7 PM
Miss Universe Pageant
1.5/55.20
Fox

60 Minutes
1.2/411.43
CBS

America’s Funniest Home Videos (R)
1.2/56.27
ABC

The New Celebrity Apprentice (R)
0.4/11.29
NBC
8 PM
NCIS: Los Angeles
1.4/511.19
CBS

To Tell the Truth
1.1/44.73
ABC
9 PM
To Tell The Truth
1.0/44.05
ABC

Dateline NBC
0.9/33.81
NBC

Madam Secretary
0.9/38.60
CBS
10 PM
Elementary
0.7/35.42
CBS

Conviction (F)
0.5/22.48
ABC

The Sitcom Explained Part III: What Happens If Modern Family Ends?


Written by Bridger Cunningham

The inevitable shows its age, no matter how hard we try to avoid it.  Like our faces, time marches across our shows and we face the question of how long will our shows last.  Modern Family and The Big Bang Theory are both in their 8th-10th seasons, and all could run for at least two more seasons given the current writing and plotting.  Last Man Standing and 2 Broke Girls are our next set of junior veterans, yet only Last Man Standing appears to have a plan to get to its 8th season.  If these shows defect or are cut by the networks, how much collateral damage will form?  The Big Bang ending would cause surefire damage, as CBS' 2nd and 3rd place sitcoms added together do not add up to The Big Bang's current average.  Over at ABC, Modern Family leaving Wednesdays would cause an initial blow, yet ABC seems to be shopping around for a survival plan.  Recently, Fresh Off The Boat aired in a plum 8pm showing.  It's 1.5 rating did not hold a candle to The Goldberg's 1.84 average.  Whilst this shows Fresh Off The Boat deserves a new home, it also shows the network will march on if Modern Family ends this season.

Hypothetically, ABC sits in a nice position in the sitcom department.  8 of its 10 showings are a success, and they have three anchor evenings to showcase these sitcoms.  It would appear if MF exited, The Goldbergs would slide into the 9pm hour, moving the successful Speechless back 30 minutes and rebuilding their schedule.  The pre-9pm hour appears to be a golden opportunity to build a show's viewing, as people eagerly anticipate the 9pm victory showing.  Contenders for the 8:30 show could be an existing, neglected veteran such as Fresh Off The Boat or a new helping of shows.  blackish may remain on this evening, but also has potential to rebuild another evening.  Another possibility would be to sample Dr. Ken on Tuesdays or Wednesdays.  The lowest-rated among the 28 sitcoms on the air, it would be an ample opportunity to see if this show has staying power.  Wednesday would be a wasted opportunity, as Dr. Ken would likely score around a 1.2-1.3.  However, one must question if they would improve the back end of Tuesdays, with The Real O'Neals weighing down the 9:30 timeslot.

So what happens to ABC's scripted average if MF deflects?  As broken down in article one, ABC averages a 1.49 for its 10 sitcoms.  Minus Modern Family, that is a 1.4, which is a minor loss.  Beyond that, ABC needs to question which of its shows are its strongest.  The Goldberg's is currently the next contender, and is also a mainstay on Wednesdays.  Speechless follows as the network's next success that evening, and The Middle and American Housewife faithfully deliver viewers on Tuesdays.  Last Man Standing manages to anchor Fridays, so there are ABC's five big players in rebuilding a post-Modern Family schedule.  So where does that leave the remainder of its shows?  blackish is topical and garnering heavy press for its heavy materials and appears to hold its own with ratings.  Over on Tuesdays, The Middle and American Housewife are bolstering this middling night.  Fresh Off The Boat scores, well okay.  And The Real O'Neals does not appear to be enriching the ratings.  Over on Fridays, Dr. Ken always rests a shadow under Last Man Standing.  

Tuesdays start high at 8pm, then plunge into the abyss by 10pm.  Wednesdays range up and down like a rich landscape, and Friday has a pothole in the shape of 9:30.  The landscape needs more terrain in viewing habits.  The Middle and American Housewife have conquered part of Tuesdays, so American Housewife deserves a plum timeslot at 9pm.  Fresh Off The Boat may do okay at 9:30, but has shown it has greater potential off of Tuesdays.  Perhaps ABC would be wise to build a new sitcom at 8:30, and allow Dr. Ken to take on a timeslot which it would pull in a 1.1-1.3 at 9:30.  As mentioned above, Wednesdays could upgrade Speechless to 8pm and launch a new fare at 8:30, nestled between Speechless and Goldbergs.  And perhaps give Fresh Off The Boat some exposure at 9:30.  So what about blackish?  The show has enjoyed three seasons nestled behind Modern Family and has enough press to follow it.  Why not move it to Fridays at 8:30?  Even if the show dips to the 1.1-1.3 range, it could help ABC plan for when Last Man Standing Bows out.  Two strong sitcoms will get people caring about Fridays again, and perhaps pave the way for the planned blackish spinoff centered on Zoe.

Odds are in ABC's favor to have Modern Family return, and viewers would welcome it.  The show averages a 2.29 rating and is still a welcome staple.  And if the show goes, ABC still has several venerable players to keep the franchise going.  Whether MF stays or goes, ABC needs another shakeup to allow the neglected to gain exposure (FOTB), the fortunate to lift their weight and try out a new space (blackish),  the less sought shows to try out a new home (Dr. Ken) and the dead weight to be shed (O'Neal's).  Whether MF is here in 2018, ABC is going to be okay.  With its sitcoms, that is.

Jane the Virgin S3E9 Review

This week, Michael prepares to get into law school, Rogelio and Darci try to figure things out, and we figure out what Petra's plans are.


S3E9 "Chapter Fifty-Three"

As Michael has decided he wants to be a lawyer, Jane becomes stressed out with his seeming lack of preparation. Jane also is worried about her novel. She is worried about showing it to Alba, but when Alba reads it, she loves it, and it is a very sweet scene. As Jane tries to re-work her novel, Michael stresses out about getting into law school, and there is a great scene as Jane tries to fall asleep. Jane and Michael talk about their worries, and they talk out the worst case scenario.

Rogelio tries to get over Darci, but is unable to. Then, they decide to try things out (and there is a great Donald Trump joke). Meanwhile, Rogelio can't decide how to end his telenovela, which is very funny. A conversation that Rogelio and Darci have causes him to realize the ending of his telenovela, which is entertaining.

Petra and Catalina begin working together, which is an interesting combo. When Catalina takes Rafael away for a day, he ends up sharing with her his family situation. Rafael realizes that Petra is spying on him, and she has a great scene when he confronts her. This scene really lets Yael Grobglas shine. At the end, Scott finds the part of the will that Petra got rid of, and the narrator tells us that this is going to cause some bad things in the future.


Jane and Michael's parts of the episode this week were great, and Yael Grobglas did a great job in the scenes where Petra worked things out with Rafael.

Score: 9/10

What did you think of "Chapter Fifty-Three"? Leave your thoughts in the comments!

The Good Place Renewed by NBC

NBC has just renewed its new comedy The Good Place for a second season, relatively shortly after it finished its 13-episode first season. This is the network's second renewal handed out so far this season, the other being This is Us.

Though The Good Place is one of NBC's lower-rated shows, it definitely gets a lot of buzz and holds its Superstore lead-in well, and is arguably their second-most successful comedy in the post-Office era. It finished the season on a 1.1 A18-49 in Live + Same Day, and averaged a 1.29 A18-49 rating in Live + Same Day for the season. As of now, that's about 90% of NBC's non-sports average, which is very respectable even though it's somewhat frontloaded.

What do you think of this news? Will you be watching a second season? Let us know in the comments below!

Cable Renew/Cancel - Freeform, MTV, TNT, and Syfy: 'The Magicians' is Certain to be Renewed

Cable Renew/Cancel: Freeform, MTV, TNT, and Syfy: 2016-17 Season Week 7





Show 
Prediction
Young & Hungry
 Renewed = hit
The Fosters
Renewed = hit
Shadowhunters
😏
Beyond
Renewed = hit
Baby Daddy
Renewed = hit
Dead of Summer
Canceled = miss
Stitchers 
Renewed = miss
Guilt
Canceled = hit

No updates.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Show 
Prediction
Scream 
Renewed = push
Mary + Jane
😏 
Sweet/Vicious
🙍
Loosely Exactly Nicole
🙍 
No updates.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Show 
Prediction 
Animal Kingdom
Renewed = hit
The Last Ship
Renewed = hit
Major Crimes
Renewed = hit
Good Behavior
Renewed = push 
Murder In The First
Canceled = hit
The Librarians
Renewed = hit

No updates.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Show 
Prediction 
Aftermath
Cancelled = miss
The Magicians
😀 
Incorporated
😏
Wyonna Earp
Renewed = hit
12 Monkeys
Renewed = miss 
Dark Matter
Renewed = hit
Killjoys
Renewed = hit
Hunters
Canceled = hit 

Incorporated: After a very good finale week, I've upgraded Incorporated to 'Leans Renewal', however, I still would not be surprised if the show was axed after one season, but the ratings increase in 1B, and the last few 0.2s are making a somewhat decent case for a renewal.
The Magicians: Premiered fantastically this week to a 0.52, no doubt, it will be back.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What did you think of the predictions? Let us know in the comments!

KEY:
Certain to be Renewed: 😀
Likely to be Renewed: 😏

Leans Renewal: 🙂
Toss Up: 😑

Leans Cancellation: 😕
Likely to be Canceled: 😟
Certain to be Canceled: 🙍

Cable Renew/Cancel - CMT, USA, and Lifetime - 'Nashville' is Likely to be Renewed+'Colony' Enters

Cable Renew/Cancel: CMT, USA, and Lifetime: 2016-17 Season Week 3


The watch is back for another issue. It is rare that these networks have anything to predict. 

















Show
Prediction
Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders
😁
I Love Kellie Pickler
😏
Nashville
😀
Still the King
Renewed
Broken Skull Challenge
Renewed
Nashville: Airing on CMT is going to be good for the show. Most shows on CMT average at a 0.05-0.10. Nashville premiered four weeks ago, and has been doing pretty decent for the network (0.24-0.28). That, with the lowered production budget, most likely exit of $$$ Connie Britton, extra revenue, and the 0.20s it pulls from Nick&@Nite should be enough to warrant a renewal.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





Show
Prediction
Eyewitness
 😏
Falling Water
 😐
Suits
Renewed = hit
Queen of the South
Renewed = hit
Mr. Robot
Renewed = push
Colony
Renewed
Shooter
Renewed = hit
Colony: Has scored a 0.25+ for each episode this season, While these ratings are bubble worthy, if it can manage to stay in the 0.24-0.30+ range for the rest of the season, USA will have no trouble bringing it back. However, stay tuned to see if its weekly decline continues, and if the prediction changes.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------







Show
Prediction
UnREAL
Renewed = hit

Nothing new.

What did you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments below!

KEY:
Certain to be Renewed: 😁
Likely to be Renewed: 😀

Leans Renewal: 😏
Toss Up: 😐

Leans Cancellation: 😟
Likely to be Cancelled: 😓
Certain to be Cancelled: 🙍