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Predicting the 2017-18 Ratings: FOX


The fall television season is approximately a month away, so I'll be putting out some rating predictions for the returning & new scripted shows that will premiere this fall. First up is FOX. Here is how I think each show will perform in the Adults 18-49 demographic.


Monday





Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
8:00pm
Lucifer
0.87
1.03
-16%
9:00pm
The Gifted (NEW)
1.23
N/A
N/A

Lucifer: After two seasons at 9, Lucifer will be making the move to 8. The drama had a rough 30% drop last year but stabilized in respectable territory. But, it only fell hard because it had a front-loaded first season average. In reality, the second season wasn't far off from the the low 1s it was doing at the end of its inaugural season. Ultimately, the show is moving to a new timeslot, so I'm not expecting it to stay steady. But, it'll drop a lot less than last year.


The Gifted: Most comic book & Marvel shows on television have started strong and then fallen hard (Gotham, Agents of Shield, Supergirl). I'm expecting the same fate for The Gifted. There will be a good amount of initial interest thanks to the Marvel and X-men name, but it won't be doing much better than Lucifer by the end of the season. 

Tuesday



Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
8:00pm
Lethal Weapon
1.06
1.57
-32%
9:00pm
The Mick
0.82
1.11
-26%
9:30pm
Brooklyn 9-9
0.71
0.85
-16%

Lethal Weapon: Unlike most tv shows based on movies, Lethal Weapon actually did very well and was easily the strongest new Fox show of the 2016-17 season. Unfortunately, things will be getting a lot tougher for the drama. It will be making a move to Tuesdays at 8 and will face against another procedural, NCIS. Aside from that, the series will have four more episodes than last season. This means that it'll most likely have to air in the lower-viewed spring months instead of finishing in the winter like its first season. Because of these factors, a 32% drop seems about right. 

The Mick: The first season of this comedy averaged a solid 1.11 in the 18-49 ratings. But, if you take out the two football-boosted episodes that aired on Sunday, that average falls down to just a 0.96. The series started with a strong 1.3 for its Tuesday premiere but was down to a measly 0.7 by the finale. I think it'll have a pretty ugly drop solely because of how inflated the first season average is and how low it was towards the end. 

Brooklyn Nine-Nine: After an extended hiatus, this cop comedy collapsed towards the end of its fourth season with most episodes pulling a 0.6 or 0.7. This time, the series gets to air in a higher-viewed hour with an okay lead-in, so it should drop a bit less, but it still won't look pretty. 


Wednesday




Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
8:00pm
Empire
1.66
2.75
-40%
9:00pm
Star
1.30
1.35
-4%

Empire: Okay, this seems brutal for Empire, but hear me out. The series premiered to a 4.2 at the beginning of the season and was down to a 2.7 by its fall finale. Through the span of just 9 episodes, the show lost 36% of its audience despite being an established show. Then, the show fell as low as a 1.9 towards the end of the season. Empire hasn't shown any real signs of stabilizing and it seems like it will stay in freefall mode.

Star: Out of all the returning Fox shows, I predict that Star will have the best trend. It's going to be airing behind Empire and while the latter is not the powerhouse it used to be, it still pulls in strong numbers. It doesn't hurt that both shows are also compatible. I expect it to be close to even with last year's average.

Thursday




Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
8:00pm
Gotham
0.81
1.08
-25%
9:00pm
The Orville (NEW)
0.98
N/A
N/A

Gotham: After three full seasons of airing in the same timeslot, the drama will be making the move to Thursday. It doesn't help that Gotham isn't a very steady show. The second season was down 36% from its first and it was 23% for its third season. Because of the timeslot change, I'm expecting roughly the same drop as last year.


The Orville: The Seth McFarlane vehicle will get to air 2 episodes with an NFL lead-in. That should help its average a good bit. I think it'll do okay in its first weeks on Thursdays (0.9-1.0), but it'll be in bubble territory towards the end of its 13-episode run. 


Friday



Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
9:00pm
The Exorcist
0.56
0.67
-16%

The Exorcist: Despite unsatisfactory numbers, Fox decided to keep The Exorcist and it'll return to its old timeslot. This prediction may seem a bit optimistic, but it was a relatively stable show. Sure, it fell 40% from week 1 to week 2, but after that, it was always at a 0.6 or 0.7. I think it will be down a good bit, but it won't be that far from last season's average. Plus, it'll have a solid Hell's Kitchen lead-in to keep it from hitting anything too alarming. 

Sunday


Time
Show
18-49 Average
 Prediction
Last Season’s Average
Predicted Trend
7:30pm
Bob’s Burgers
0.87
0.95
-8%
8:00pm
The Simpsons
1.43
1.76
-19%
8:30pm
Ghosted (NEW)
0.99
N/A
N/A
9:00pm
Family Guy
1.13
1.29
-12%
9:30pm
Last Man on Earth
0.76
0.90
-16%

Bob's Burgers: The Belchers had a small 8% drop last year. Bob's Burgers is a relatively stable show, so I'm expecting another single digit dip. But, if the show ends up in the 8:30 or 9:30 slot, it'll probably have a higher average.

The Simpsons: This seems a bit brutal for a show that was up last year, but I still expect it to go down this path. Last year, the series had a Treehouse of Horror episode that was also its 600th episode and also had a 1-hr episode after a football game. With the absence of gimmick episodes like those, it'll probably drop a good bit. 

Ghosted: Ghosted won't be getting a football-boosted premiere like last year's Son of Zorn and it doesn't have much buzz on social media. It only has 11 episodes and will get boosted by football, so its average won't look too bad, but it won't look great on nights without NFL.

Family Guy: This long-running animated comedy had an okay trend last year (down 13% year-to-year). I'm expecting it to stay in that vicinity. As usual, it will get some help from the football halo, but it'll also do well on its own merit. 

The Last Man on Earth: The Will Forte comedy will be entering its fourth season and will remain in the post-Family Guy slot. Due to its serialized nature, it won't be as steady as a show like Bob's Burgers, but it'll keep the lights on. It'll probably look bad in the fall, but that's only because it doesn't really benefit from football like the other comedies. Overall, I'm expecting it to drop a bit less than last year. 

What do you think of these predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments below.

TV Ratings 8/18/17: 'Big Brother' On Top, 'What Would You Do?' Steady


Here are the preliminary broadcast ratings for Friday, August 19, 2017.


photo: TVSeriesFinale

Note: Some preliminary ratings are inflated due to football preemptions. Check back after finals for official numbers.

Time
Show
18-49 Rating
Total Viewers     (In Millions)
8:00pm
Big Brother (CBS)
1.4
5.08
America’s Got Talent (R) (NBC)
0.7
3.80

Shark Tank (R) (ABC)
0.7
3.55

MasterChef (R) (FOX)
0.7
2.61

Masters of Illusion (CW)
0.2
1.06




8:30pm
Masters of Illusion (R) (CW)
0.2
0.97




9:00pm
What Would You Do? (ABC)
0.7
3.19

Beat Shazam (R) (FOX)
0.7
2.38

Hawaii Five-0 (R) (CBS)
0.5
3.77

Penn & Teller: Fool Us (R) (CW)
0.2
0.92




10:00pm
Dateline NBC (NBC)
0.8
3.83

20/20 (ABC)
0.7
3.40

Blue Bloods (R) (CBS)
0.5
4.60
  
(R) = repeat

CBS preempted a MacGyver encore at 8 in favor of a Big Brother clip show (1.4). It easily crushed the competition and was only a tenth of a point off from its last Friday airing back in July. The powerhouse reality series led into drama repeats (0.5/0.5). 

ABC's What Would You Do? (0.7) was steady with its last original and up a tenth from last week's repeat. It led out of a Shark Tank encore (0.7) and into an original 20/20 (0.7). The latter rose a tenth from last week. 

FOX had inflated repeats (0.7/0.7) that will most likely adjust down after finals.

NBC had an AGT encore (0.7) leading into Dateline (0.8). The latter rose a tenth and beat 20/20 head-on. 


The CW had its normal helping of 0.2s with a mix of magic show repeats and originals. 

Get Shorty S1E1 Review

In this golden age of television, one network arose to provide us with the best entertainment the world has seen. This network endured much hardship to ensure their greatness and in doing so has received the adoration of the masses.

Sadly, this show is not part of that network.

Epix

The show follows Miles Daly, a disgruntled underling of mob boss Amara who is trying to fix his marriage. When Miles goes to LA to "take care" of a writer, he finds a script among the writer's belongings and decides to make it into a movie.

I know my opening quote might be in bad taste but I must commend Epix for their push towards original programming. While I doubt this show will put them on the map, I found it was enjoyable. I really like the cast especially Chris O'Dowd and Ray Romano. They were what drew me in and they're the main reason I'm reviewing this show. My main problem with this episode was that even though it was meant as a setup, it was very long. But I hope this improves as the show moves forward

Quote of the week: "One big Mormon block party"

2012-13 Sitcom Scorecard -- Nerds Rule and Reality TV Drools


Written Elated Nerds and Sitcoms Took a Reality Revenge by Bridger Cunningham

Image result for big bang - fightThe 2000's left sitcoms bullied yet again by the latest popular fad, Reality TV.  The nerds, aka sitcoms, tried to party quietly, and Reality TV let a slew of swines to swag through their soiree.  Then, the nerds, ....err the sitcoms took their revenge, led by The Big Bang Theory.  They raided the Thursday sorority house, led by uber popular American Idol.  After raiding their unmentionable ratings, ABC counterpart Modern Family left something itchy in the saddle of AI's Wednesday helping which outperformed the tiring franchise.  The sitcom nerds declared there were more of them than the trendy Reality TV shows, and the sitcoms prevailed.  CBS delivered as the champ in both sitcoms and overall performance, and the other networks scattered performances elsewhere.  NBC took 2nd in overall 18-49 demos whilst failing as the loser on the sitcom front.  FOX took 3rd in both helpings, and ABC trailed in 4th overall, only taking a victory with its sitcoms showing signs of regenerating.


CBS Mondays performed just dandy this season, but the network demanded more.  They juxtaposed The Big Bang Theory and Two and a Half Men at 8pm on Thursdays under the transparent guise of having "the two biggest sitcoms on this night."  The strategy worked as they shoved their way into newly charted territory, pinching out NBC's Must-See-TV.  Over on Monday, How I Met Your Mother led the evening, followed by failed clunkers Partners and Made in Jersey.  Then an insulting, afterthought of an ending to durable Rules of Engagement.  2 Broke Girls delivered steady, as did Mike and Molly.

ABC built modest success on Wednesdays with Modern Family redefining standards.  The Middle delivered a modest performance, and Suburgatory held, okay.  Elsewhere, poindexters, dweebs and geeks couldn't crack the Greek standard of The Middle and MF.  Last Man Standing made a bold move to Friday evenings with modest success, followed by what would begin a slew of failures to follow, starting with Malibu Country and odd showings of social misfit Happy Endings.

FOX Sundays delivered strong, and Tuesdays gave their mediocre best piggybacking on New Girl.  The Mindy Project performed modestly, and Raising Hope continued to lose Nielsen steam.  NBC made a hot mess as the 2000's popular remains had their day and faded.  The Office and 30 Rock bowed out after successful runs, leaving Community and Parks and Recreation to fend for themselves with critical popularity saving their soft demos.  Sophomores Up All Night and Whitney were shown the door, and not a single freshman pilot exited the series with a return invitation to NBC's formerly popular sorority house.

Source -- http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/1/complete-list-of-2012-13-season-tv-show-ratings-sunday-night-football-tops-followed-by-the-big-bang-theory-the-voice-modern-family/


Sporcle TV Quizzes of the Week- Reality TV Edition/Sporcle Contest Season 2 Part 7

We're back for more Sporcle TV Quizzes of the Week, and it's time to get real. Prepare yourselves for  some reality show quizzes. Survivors ready? Go!

Big Brother is my favorite Summer show and my favorite reality show. It's a great show for Summer, and while it can drive me crazy, I still love it. So I made this quiz, focusing on the current cast, about a week ago. I enjoyed creating it, and I hope you'll enjoy playing it.
My Score: 17/17

This is a fun quiz, and I did well on this one because I watch WAY too much reality TV. Like seriously, I need help. It'll definitely be a bit of a challenge for those that actually have lives, unlike myself. While some are pretty obscure, some of these hosts are really famous. And who knows, maybe one day one of these people will be our president. Oh, wait...
My Score: 17/20

Survivor is one of my other favorite reality shows, it's such an iconic show and it host is one of the most well known on all of TV. So I chose this quiz, focusing on some common phrases used by host Jeff Probst, as my final feature in this edition. While I got most right because I've watched this show for most of my life, I messed up on one that I really should have gotten. This quiz was even noticed by Probst himself, who posted it on his Twitter page. 
My Score: 18/19

RESULTS
1- JB, 56 points
1t- Lisa, 56 points
3- Barb, 54 points
4- Crazy Ex-Nashville Fan, 53 points
5- Miguens, 31 points
6- Full Boyle, 19 points


TOURNAMENT
This is week seven of the 2nd TVRG-Sporcle Tournament. For each week, the number of questions you got correct on each quiz will be added up. The first place finisher receives 3 points for placing first, as well. Also, to make things fair, please use the score for your first attempt on each quiz as your official score.

The submission process for the Sporcle Quizzes of the Week has changed. Instead of the old way of commenting your scores, you now just have to fill out the silver form below. This is for both privacy and to accommodate those without Disqus accounts.


Please enter your submission using this Google Form:


Tournament Standings:
1 - Good Behavior in Animal Kingdom, 522 points
2 - JB, 496 points
3t- Full Boyle, 242 points
3t- Miguens, 242 points
5- Lisa, 171 points
6 - Game of Thrones PT, 168 points
7- Barb, 162 points
8- HV, 142 points
9- theratingsjunkie, 61 points
10- omabin, 58 points
11- Jovan, 57 points
12- Raph, 56 points
13- Reese, 20 points

Thanks for playing the Sporcle Quizzes of the Week! Make sure to come check out the spin-off, the Off-Topic Quizzes of the Week, on Monday.