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New Ratings Database Features

Although the regular season has come to a close, summer is now here and there are still plenty of shows on the air. With this come two additions to the ratings base: year-to-year percentage trends (when applicable) and projected ratings.

The year-to-year percentage trends will only apply to shows that are returning for another season in the summer and already have a ratings database page. Those are shows like To Tell The Truth and The Wall. This will be highlighted in yellow as demonstrated below.

The projected ratings are my projections for the seasonal averages based on a given show's current ratings and what its trends and/or future competition will be. This will be highlighted in blue, and I plan on changing these projections on every airing. Only the most recent projections will be shown, but a separate projection page will be made. These projections will be color coded just like the raw numbers; an above average projection is in a shade of green, an average projection in white, and a below average projection in a shade of red. Take a look at the page for The Wall as an example.


The Trends Part 2: Massive Time Slot Upgrades to Newer Comedies (REVISED)

UPDATE: This article has been revised to reflect Superstore's return to Thursday at 8pm instead of airing after The Voice.

Welcome to The Trends! In this segment, I discuss some of the trends that we saw in the madness that was early-to-mid-May 2017. This second segment focuses on giving returning comedies massive time slot upgrades.

Many times, when networks see a lot of untapped potential in a show, they move it to a better time slot and hope the show improves. It worked yesteryear with Seinfeld, it worked a couple years ago with The Goldbergs, and next fall there are three comedies getting the same treatment, and the second seasons of American Housewife on ABC and Great News on NBC.

Back when it was a pilot named The Second Fattest Housewife in Westport, American Housewife is the show that I thought was going to be scheduled behind Modern Family due to Blackish moving to Tuesday. I was wrong. In fact, The Middle moved to Tuesday to launch American Housewife while Blackish stayed put. This year is different; Blackish is now airing Tuesday at 9pm, and to pretty much everyone's surprise, American Housewife got the post-Modern Family time slot. This mostly shows that ABC wasn't too into their family comedy pilots, given none of them even made the fall schedule. Since Blackish is now about to get to syndication, ABC seems to be protecting fellow ABC Studios comedy American Housewife now. With Modern Family renewed for a ninth and tenth season, American Housewife can really be nurtured if ABC wants to go that route. While it did well in its first season, getting great retention out of The Middle, is wasn't a show that screamed 8 seasons and anchor material. ABC is attempting to change that by putting new life into the show; in fact, it's entirely possible that it ends up being Modern Family's heir. That being said, we have to remember that they once moved Suburgatory behind Modern Family in its second season and it didn't improve, so maybe the same will happen here. Either way, it's great that they're trying to make it their next big hit.

It's an interesting trend overall; in the 2014-15 season, we saw The Goldbergs, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and Mom get massive time slot upgrades, all so-so rated freshmen shows which are now about to enter their fifth season as a result. There was nothing of that type in the two seasons to follow, and now we're seeing it happen again. The difference is while many saw the potential The Goldbergs would have if aired between The Middle and Modern Family, the Internet was blindsided by American Housewife moving behind Modern Family, and Great News even getting renewed.

It is also notable that the big time slot upgrades are going to comedies. Like we saw this season, moving a drama past its freshmen season to a better time slot may not always work out like one would hope (see: Quantico). Comedies are much easier to grow if given better time slots and a big promotional push, and it's quite possible that more than one of these shows will be alive and well in 2020. It reinforces the notion that comedies have a lot of value to advertisers and can be long-term investments, even if they don't live up to their full potential right out of the gate.

What do you think? Let me know in the comments below! 

NBC REVISES FALL 2017 SCHEDULE (UPDATED)



UPDATE: Looks like per a press release, Chicago Med is scheduled to air Tuesday at 10 midseason. This is likely subject to change.

Here is NBC's NEW fall 2017 schedule. Lots of changes to Tuesday and Thursday:

SUNDAY
7-Football Night in America
8-NFL Football Pre-Game
8:30-Sunday Night Football

MONDAY
8-The Voice
10-The Brave

TUESDAY
8-The Voice
9-This is Us
10-Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders

WEDNESDAY
8-The Blacklist
9-Law & Order: SVU
10-Chicago PD

THURSDAY
8-Superstore
8:30-The Good Place
9-Will & Grace
9:30-Great News
10-Chicago Fire

FRIDAY
8-Blindspot
9-Taken
10-Dateline NBC

Jess's Take: This Week in Megaflops

Welcome to a new installment of Jess's Take. Since Still Star-Crossed premiered in Quantico territory, I thought I would title this special post. 

Still Star-Crossed, A Megaflop of Epic Proportions
Very little promotion, summer scheduling, and Memorial Day premiere led to disaster, as the megaflop premiered to a 0.5 A18-49 rating, after a high rated Bachelorette. Now, I wonder why ABC premiered this trainwreck. 

Part of it has something to do with TVLine's Blind Item. A lot of speculation brought on the possibility that Still Star-Crossed was that pungent TV series that the networks tried to sell to a streaming service for pennies on the dollar. Knowing Shonda Rhimes, she would be the one to stop a sale from occurring. 

That 0.5 translates to a 41 Plus for the 10pm hour. Ouch! Arguably, that is Quantico-level bad. Only time will tell whether it goes lower or not. What ABC needs to do is to flush this down the toilet to oblivion and never look back. 

This concludes This Week in Megaflops. 

The Trends Part 5: High Profile Revivals

Every year, networks either revive old TV shows and turn movies into TV shows. This season is no different except for the caliber of the revivals. This season, NBC is bringing back Will & Grace, The CW is bringing back Dynasty, and ABC is bringing back both American Idol and Roseanne. These are four of the most successful shows in television. Let's take a look at these revivals and what they may mean for broadcast television both now and in the coming years.


NBC has already started advertising the return of Will & Grace, a show that aired in the 90s and early 2000s as part of their "Must See TV" Thursday night lineup. While the show's ratings were not the same after it lost its Friends lead-in, it is still a widely-loved sitcom that will likely have the power to bring in both new and some old viewers in its return this fall. It should be noted that NBC hasn't revived a comedy in recent years, and the only comedy they've aired in the post-Office years with a familiar name was the short-lived About a Boy. Last season, NBC trusted Superstore to start off Thursday nights, and while it didn't do terrible, there was clearly room for improvement. At this point, if NBC were to ask a comedy to start off Thursdays, a revival would be necessary. Time will tell if this Will & Grace revival will last, but even by bringing it back for a short season should be enough to put some new life into their Thursday nights.


On a similar note, ABC, the network who has held back the most on revivals and adaptations, is brining back hit sitcom Roseanne. About a working class family, Roseanne spent its first six seasons as a top four show on all of television, and even tied for #1 once. The show was so popular that 20 years after its final season, it's still airing in syndication. The question here is if viewers are willing to accept more new episodes of Roseanne, and even more importantly where it fits in on the schedule now that there is no multi-cam comedy block. Its most compatible partner would be The Middle. Assuming it airs in-season, this will be the first time ABC has revived a sitcom that aired in-season since before the beginning of the era that brought in Modern Family and The Middle, as far as I can tell. It seems that an eye should be kept on ABC to see if they continue this trend of reviving shows, as they rarely did it before these last few seasons. There also hasn't been word on what happens if Roseanne does well; does it make the fall schedule? Is that bad news for another comedy airing on ABC's schedule?

A third high-profile revival is Dynasty on The CW. Although it kind of faltered towards the end of its run, it spent four seasons in the top 5 shows and spent one season at #1--kind of like Roseanne. Also, when it did a two-episode reunion, its ratings were higher than they had been in the final two seasons. It's hard to expect this to stay a top 10 or 20 show given it will be airing on The CW, but chances are the version that will air in the fall will still pull in solid numbers for the network. The other show The CW has revived in recent years was The Flash, and that has done some record-breaking numbers for it that is even competitive with many shows on the Big 4 networks. The one problem could be that The CW's audience and Dynasty's audience may not seem to be a perfect match, but if promoted enough viewers will probably make their way to see their favorite show 30 years later.


While all of these revivals are high-profile, there is none quite as big as American Idol. American Idol had a whole farewell season in 2015, when in reality it would only take one season off before ABC decided to bring it back (yes, ABC, not FOX). The show has already been the center of attention in the media; most notably Katy Perry's $25 million contract and how that is reportedly almost 2/3rds of the talent budget. ABC reportedly plans on airing 40 hours on the once-monster-hit singing competition, which means it will have to do some shuffling on its schedule to accommodate it. If it flops, ABC may have a huge problem on their hands. If it hits, though, ABC will have a huge success. It's a high risk, and ones that networks seemingly don't take all that often out of fear of its costing them too much money. Some say it's too soon for American Idol to return since the nostalgia factor is not there; others say there were still a lot of people watching the show when it finished its final season, and therefore is an audience there for the revival. Regardless of who is right, the return of American Idol will most likely be the biggest ratings story of the season.

What do you think about this trend? Let me know in the comments below!

Summer Renew/Cancel, Week 2: Still Star-Crossed is Already a Certain Cancellation

Welcome to week 2 of Summer Renew/Cancel! We're only two weeks in and we've already got some fun development with the network's scripted programs, with Still Star-Crossed premiering this week and an interesting week 2 for Downward Dog.

Certain to be Canceled:
Still Star-Crossed (0.5)

Likely to be Canceled:
N/A

Leans Cancellation:
Downward Dog (1.1)

Leans Renewal:
N/A

Likely to be Renewed:
N/A

Certain to be Renewed:
N/A

Fate Determined:
N/A

Yet to Premiere:
Somewhere Between (July 2017)
Midnight, Texas (July 2017)
Salvation (July 2017)
Marlon (August 2017)
The Carmichael Show (May 2017)
The Night Shift (June 2017)
Hooten & the Lady (July 2017)
Zoo (June 2017)
SNL Weekend Update Thursday (August 2017)

Downward Dog- After a soft premiere, ABC's newest comedy had a very solid week 2. It's 1.0 in week 2 was a strong hold that I didn't see coming. With the lower viewing levels and without a strong lead-in, I was expecting a 0.8 at best. Needless to say, this was a pleasant surprise. I'm not changing my prediction this week, as I'd like to see one more night of ratings for it before upgrading it. It faces America's Got Talent this week, so it could see a harsh drop.

Still Star-Crossed: Words cannot express how awfully Still Star-Crossed premiered. The ShondaLand  series premiered to a 0.5, with a 0.4 in the second half-hour. To put it lightly, that's terrible. Despite a solid 1.5 lead-in from the Bachelorette, the series could only garner a 0.6 in the first half. Even Shonda can't save a show with a 0.4 in its second half. The Catch couldn't even get a renewal, and it NEVER dipped this low. This ABC newbie is already a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

Later this week, The Carmichael Show will premiere its third season. Stay tuned for my initial prediction for it next Tuesday, and my other predictions every Tuesday after that.

What do you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments below.

2016-17 Season: Renew/Cancel Database - Updated 7/30


Hello everyone, welcome back to a new feature on The TV Ratings Guide, the Renew/Cancel Database. Here you will find every show that is going to air this season on all of the five broadcast networks. Once a show is Renewed, Cancelled, or announced as ending, this page will be updated, and the show's status will be changed. Also, whatever our Watch has the show predicted as will also be placed here. Sorry it took so long for an update!

ABC

Show
Status
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
Renewed 5/11
America's Funniest Home Videos
Renewed 5/12
American Crime
Canceled 5/11
American Housewife
Renewed 5/11
The Bachelor
Renewed 5/11
Black-ish
Renewed 5/11
The Catch
Canceled 5/11
Conviction
Canceled 3/31
Dancing With The Stars
Renewed 5/12
Designated Survivor
Renewed 5/11
Downward Dog
Dr. Ken
Canceled 5/11
Fresh Off The Boat
Renewed 5/12
The Goldbergs
Renewed 5/11
Grey's Anatomy
Renewed 2/10
How To Get Away With Murder
Renewed 2/10
Imaginary Mary
Canceled 5/11
Last Man Standing
Canceled 5/10
Notorious
Canceled 3/31
The Middle
Renewed 1/25
Modern Family
Renewed 5/10
Once Upon A Time
Renewed 5/11
Quantico
Renewed 5/15
The Real O'Neals
Canceled 5/11
Scandal
Renewed 2/10
Secrets & Lies
Canceled 5/11
Speechless
Renewed 5/12
Shark Tank
Renewed 5/11
Still Star-Crossed
Time After Time
Somewhere Between
Canceled 3/29
Certain to be Canceled

THE CW


Show
Status
Arrow
Renewed 1/8
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Renewed 1/8
Frequency
Canceled 5/8
iZombie
Renewed 5/10
Jane The Virgin
Renewed 1/8
Legends of Tomorrow
Renewed 1/8
No Tomorrow
Canceled 5/8
Reign
Canceled 12/7
Riverdale
Renewed 3/7
Supergirl
Renewed 1/8
Supernatural
Renewed 1/8
The 100
Renewed 3/10
The Flash
Renewed 1/8
The Originals
Renewed 5/10
The Vampire Diaries
Hooten & the Lady
Ended
Likely Cancellation

CBS

Show
Status
2 Broke Girls
Canceled 5/12
Blue Bloods
Renewed 3/23
Bull
Renewed 3/23
Code Black
Renewed 5/14
Criminal Minds
Renewed 4/7
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders
Canceled 5/14
Doubt
Canceled 2/24
Elementary
Renewed 5/13
Hawaii Five-0
Renewed 3/23
Kevin Can Wait
Renewed 3/23
Life in Pieces
Renewed 3/23
MacGyver
Renewed 3/23
Madam Secretary
Renewed 3/23
Man With A Plan
Renewed 3/23
Mom
Renewed 3/23
NCIS
Renewed 3/23
NCIS: Los Angeles
Renewed 3/23
NCIS: New Orleans
Renewed 3/23
Pure Genius
Essentially Canceled (no additional episodes ordered on 11/21)
Scorpion
Renewed 3/23
Survivor/Superior Donuts
Renewed 3/23
The Amazing Race
Renewed 5/13
The Big Bang Theory
Renewed 3/20
The Great Indoors
Canceled 5/13
The Odd Couple
Canceled 5/15
Training Day
Undercover Boss
Canceled 5/17
Certain to be Renewed
Salvation
Zoo
Likely to be Canceled
Likely to be Canceled

FOX

Show
Status
24: Legacy
A.P.B.
Canceled 5/11
American Grit
Certain to be Canceled
Bob’s Burgers
Renewed 10/7/15
Bones
Ended
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Renewed 5/12
Empire
Renewed 1/11
Family Guy
Renewed
Gotham
Renewed 5/10
Hell’s Kitchen
Renewed 9/9
Kicking & Screaming
Likely to be Canceled
Lethal Weapon
Renewed 2/22
Lucifer
Renewed 2/13
Making History
Canceled 5/11
New Girl
Renewed 5/14
Pitch
Canceled 5/1
Prison Break
Likely Renewal
Rosewood
Canceled 5/9
Scream Queens
Canceled 5/15
Shots Fired
Canceled 5/15
Sleepy Hollow
Canceled 5/9
Son Of Zorn
Canceled 5/11
Star
Renewed 2/22
The Exorcist
Renewed 5/12
The Last Man On Earth
Renewed 5/10
The Mick
Renewed 2/21
The Simpsons
Renewed 11/4

NBC

Show
Status
The Apprentice
Likely to be Canceled
The Blacklist
Renewed 5/11
Blindspot
Renewed 5/10
The Carmichael Show
Caught On Camera With Nick Cannon
Certain to be Canceled
Chicago Fire
Renewed 5/10
Chicago Med
Renewed 5/10
Chicago P.D.
Renewed 5/10
Grimm
Ended
Hollywood Game Night
Likely to be Renewed
Law & Order: SVU
Renewed 5/12
Little Big Shots
Certain to be Renewed
Shades Of Blue
Renewed 3/17
Superstore
Renewed 2/14
The Voice
Renewed 10/18
The Blacklist: Redemption
Canceled 5/12
Chicago Justice
Canceled 5/22
Emerald City
Canceled 5/4
The Good Place
Renewed 1/30
Great News
Renewed 5/11
Trial & Error
Renewed 5/20
Marlon
Premieres August
Midnight, Texas
Leans Renewal
Powerless
Canceled 5/11
Taken
Renewed 5/9
This Is Us
Renewed 1/18
Timeless
Renewed 5/13
SNL Weekend Update Thursday
The Night Shift
Premieres August
Likely to be Canceled