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CW Renew/Cancel: Assessing the Situation with The Originals

Welcome to the CW Renew/Cancel Watch. This installment introduces a few changes. There is a new table, with percentages. Here's the new table. 
Show
Renewal Chance
Frequency
5%
No Tomorrow
5%
The Originals
50%
The 100
Renewed
Arrow
Renewed
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Renewed
DC’s Legends of Tomorrow
Renewed
Jane the Virgin
Renewed
Riverdale
Renewed
Supergirl
Renewed
Supernatural
Renewed
Reign
Final Season
The Vampire Diaries
Final Season

Despite The Originals getting higher A18-49 Plus ratings than previously canceled shows, this may be tied as the most controversial prediction in Renew/Cancel history (with ABC's Dr. Ken, after last night's 0.7 for its season finale, possibly moving back to cancelation territory). The Watching prediction returns in full force, and I did not expect to use this after my last minute push on Crazy Ex. The Originals got a 0.4 in week 3, and I must assess the situation.

Currently in season 4, The Originals is at the 70-80 episode mark where low rated shows typically get canceled. However, this is a different season. It's at the CW scripted median and the entire network is down double digits year to year. Considering the ratings climate, it's a stronger show compared to previous shows Nikita, Hart of Dixie, Beauty and the Beast, and Reign (currently airing its final season).

For now, I increased my percentage chances for the show to 50%. This means it may be time for a poll. As they say in Chicago, vote early and vote often!