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ABC Renew/Cancel - April 21: Agents of SHIELD is Likely to be Renewed

This week, after a ratings uptick, Agents of SHIELD gets to move out of the toss-up category, leaving only one show there.


Format for predictions:
Show title (average 18-49 rating, season low-high)

Certain to be Canceled

Likely to be Canceled
American Crime (0.4, 0.3-0.5)
Dr. Ken (0.9, 0.7-1.1)
Imaginary Mary (1.0, 0.8-1.4)
Secrets & Lies (0.8, 0.6-1.0)
Quantico (0.7, 0.5-1.0)
The Real O'Neals (0.9, 0.8-1.2)

Toss-Up
Once Upon a Time (1.0, 0.7-1.3)

Likely to be Renewed
Agents of SHIELD (0.7, 0.6-1.1)
The Catch (0.7, 0.6-0.8)
Last Man Standing (1.2, 1.0-1.5)
Modern Family (2.2, 1.9-2.6)

Certain to be Renewed
American Housewife (1.5, 1.1-1.9)
Black-ish (1.6, 1.2-2.0)
Designated Survivor (1.3, 0.9-2.2)
Fresh Off the Boat (1.2, 1.0-1.6)
The Goldbergs (1.8, 1.5-2.0)
Speechless (1.6, 1.3-2.0)

Fate Determined
Conviction (CANCELED)
Grey's Anatomy (RENEWED)
How to Get Away with Murder (RENEWED)
The Middle (RENEWED)
Notorious (CANCELED)
Scandal (RENEWED)
Time After Time (CANCELED)


Agents of SHIELD: I was prepared to upgrade Agents of SHIELD this week if it stayed at 0.7. The fact that it went up to 0.8 makes me even more confident in my prediction. It is proving that it is the strongest of ABC's lowest-rated shows, and they are desperate to renew something. At its ratings level, the only thing that could get a show canceled is if it came from an outside studio, but not only is Agents of SHIELD ABC's own, but it is a Marvel show, and ABC wouldn't cancel a Marvel show that isn't totally failing, like Agent Carter was last season.

The Catch: Since Agents of SHIELD is no longer one of my tricky predictions, I guess the ratings decided that I needed another. So, The Catch dropped to 0.6 this week. This makes it much harder to predict, and I almost moved it to toss-up (I've been debating about that ever since I looked at the ratings this morning), but I decided not to. If it stays at 0.6 next week, I will, and in that case the following week will decide if it is likely to be canceled (getting a 0.6 or lower) or likely to be renewed (0.7 or higher). For now, it's likely to be renewed, but not all that likely.

Imaginary Mary: This show surprised this week, going back up to a 0.9 while Fresh Off the Boat went down a tenth to 1.0. I still don't expect Imaginary Mary to get renewed, but next week is the real test, when it airs after reruns. If it performs well then, maybe it will be back.


What do you think of my predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments!