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ABC Renew/Cancel - February 10: The Goldbergs is Certain to be Renewed

Earlier today, the three TGIT dramas that have aired so far this year (Grey's Anatomy, Scandal, and How to Get Away with Murder) were renewed, giving me three more correct predictions. Also this week, the comedies on Tuesday and Wednesday made a return after some weeks off.


Format for predictions:
Show title (average 18-49 rating, season low-high)

Certain to be Canceled
Conviction* (0.6, 0.4-0.9)
Notorious** (0.9, 0.5-1.1)

Likely to be Canceled
Agents of SHIELD (0.8, 0.6-1.1)
Dr. Ken (0.9, 0.8-1.1)
The Real O'Neals (0.9, 0.8-1.2)
Secrets & Lies (0.8, 0.6-1.0)
Quantico (0.8, 0.6-1.0)

Toss-Up

Likely to be Renewed
Last Man Standing (1.2, 1.1-1.5)
Modern Family (2.3, 2.0-2.6)
Once Upon a Time (1.1, 0.9-1.3)

Certain to be Renewed
American Housewife (1.6, 1.4-1.9)
Black-ish (1.6, 1.2-2.0)
Designated Survivor (1.4, 1.1-2.2)
Fresh Off the Boat (1.3, 1.1-1.6)
The Goldbergs (1.8, 1.5-2.0)
Speechless (1.7, 1.3-2.0)

Fate Determined
Grey's Anatomy (RENEWED)
How to Get Away with Murder (RENEWED)
The Middle (RENEWED)
Scandal (RENEWED)

*Trimmed to 10 episodes October 25, predicted certain to be canceled since September 23
**Announced it wouldn't receive additional episodes November 8, predicted certain to be canceled since October 7



The Goldbergs: After two seasons of airing at 8:30, ABC asked The Goldbergs to step into the 8:00 slot so that The Middle could go and support Tuesday nights in the comedy expansion. The Goldbergs has been able to continue performing well at 8:00, and has successfully launched the new show Speechless. There's no way this one isn't coming back,

The Real O'Neals: The season average for The Real O'Neals is has now inched down to 0.9. It would probably still be able to get renewed if ABC comedy wasn't doing so well, and still does have a chance in the likely scenario that ABC expands comedy hours, but I still don't think the renewal will happen. If it does, thank ABC Studios.


What do you think of my predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments!