WHAT'S NEW?
Loading...

The TV Ratings Guide's Take On...Conviction, Designated Survivor, and Notorious + Reader Poll

Welcome back to The TV Ratings Guide's Take On..., a new segment where we predict a show's fate based only on what we know right now. Participating in this segment alongside myself is Aasim, Full
Boyle, HV, Jess, Jon, and Luke. Enjoy, and don't forget to vote in the polls and leave your thoughts in the comments below!

Conviction

Aasim:
Conviction doesn't have the same star power as Designated Survivor, but it has a great cast featuring Hayley Atwell (Agent Carter), shawn Ashmore (Iceman), Emily Kinney (That Walking Dead Girl) and Merrin Dungey (Ursula). It has a similar felling to its timeslot's predecessor (Castle) and has Dancing with the Stars as a lead-in. The only way I see it getting cancelled is if it just sucks.
Prediction: Renewed

Full Boyle:
This has the post-Dancing with the Stars slot, but it has almost no buzz. I don't think Dancing with the Stars fans will stay for this one, and it's probably done by midseason. CANCEL

HV:
I think this will perform decently behind Dancing with the Stars and end up getting renewed.

Jess:
If it wasn't for the Dungey name, I would've leaned canceled. But since Channing Dungey's sister has ties to Conviction, I would say it would be a factor in its renewal. My gut tells me that this is going to be renewed, despite not having much buzz.

Jon:
I think ABC will finally score a hit new drama this year, with Conviction and Designated Survivor. Conviction has an interesting premise, and is a procedural, which typically do better than serial dramas. It is also getting the benefit of airing after big hit reality show Dancing with the Stars. I think it has a very high chance of coming back.

Luke:
I believe Conviction will be a very steady show throughout its entire run. I'm thinking we will see a premiere in the mid 1s, only slightly behind the premiere of Timeless. From there, I believe it will remain floating around in the mid 1s and ultimately end up with a renewal because of its steadiness. Who knows, it could even end up winning its timeslot every now and then with the likely rapid decline of NBC's Timeless and probably waning of CBS's Scorpion.

theratingsjunkie:
ABC is premiering three new political-based dramas this fall, both to take advantage of a unique election season and possibly to look for a Scandal replacement. Conviction doesn't have all that much buzz right now, but then again it hasn't really gotten much of a marketing push yet either, so that can change. Right now I like it's chances over Notorious, if it comes down to one or the other.


Designated Survivor

Aasim:
Designated Survivor has many factors in its favor: 1) A star-studded cast with Kiefer Sutherland, Maggie Q (Praise Be), and Kal Penn; 2) a potentially exciting story; 3) Less competition in its time slot. But the show has some problems like: 1) It's at 10pm; 2) It's buzz might cool down after a few episodes and might start getting low ratings like Quantico; 3) It has Black-ish as a lead-in. Prediction: Toss Up

Full Boyle:
This has probably the most buzz out of all the ABC shows. It's time slot isn't the best, though ABC has an effective marketing campaign and it has gotten positive reception. Not the breakout hit everyone is expecting, but a solid performer in a trouble time slot. RENEW

HV:
I think this will be the next big broadcast hit drama, easily getting it renewed.

Jess:
I can see it pulling respectable numbers and getting renewed.

Jon:
If you ask me, Designated Survivor is definitely the show ABC is banging on to be a hit. It got picked up way before May, and has been getting promoted since early May. Also, it is a show about politics (you could say), and the election is everywhere on the news this year, so that may help the show get a little bump. And everyone I've seen talk about it has had good things to say. I think the show will do well for ABC, and get renewed.

Luke:
With the exception of NBC's This is Us, Designated Survivor definitely has the most "buzz" surrounding it. Because of this, I could easily see a premiere reaching the high 2.0s, and maybe even the low 3.0s if it's lucky. The trajectory after the big premiere will all depend on quality, but I'm predicting only a very gradual decline to the mid-high 1.0s by the end of its run. Designated Survivor will likely be surviving until next season.

theratingsjunkie:
Although this show probably won't be the breakout hit many have been predicting (probably based solely off the fact that it was an early series order), it will also most definitely improve the time slot year-to-year for ABC. Nothing groundbreaking, but acceptable enough for a renewal.


Notorious
Aasim:
Notorious may have a Shonda-esque vide, but it isn't a Shonda show. Not to mention that it's in a very competitive time slot, facing off against Mom, Supernatural, Pitch and Chicago Med. Notorious could survive thanks to its Grey's Anatomy lead-in but I find it difficult to believe that all fall dramas will survive and if at least one of them is getting the axe, it's this show.

Full Boyle:
With a Grey's Anatomy lead-in, Notorious takes over for Scandal on Thursdays. While it's not Shonda, it's similar to Grey's Anatomy, and I think that should lead to a solid performance, maybe on par with spring Scandal results, which should be good enough for another go around. RENEW

HV:
I think that many of the usual TGIT viewers will reject this show, causing it to get canceled.

Jess:
I say that this will get canceled unless it has higher ratings than Conviction.

Jon:
Here is a somewhat tricky show to predict. Nobody really thought this show would get picked up,and it really does not have any buzz on it. If it were airing on Sundays or Wednesdays I would predict it as not doing well. But, ABC has sandwiched it in the middle of TGIT, which should give it a bump. I'm not too confident in this show's success. I don't think it will be renewed come spring.

Luke:
Notorious should enjoy a fairly respectable premiere in the high 1.0s/low 2.0s because of its slot behind the season premiere of Grey's Anatomy. From there, I think it will float around in the mid 1.0s and most likely stay there for its entire run, depending on the quality of course. It will very likely become a bubble show by the end of the season and will squeeze out a renewal based on the performance of ABC's midseason offerings, which I think will fall flat.

theratingsjunkie:
At the TCA's, Channing Dungey described Notorious as ABC's best filler option with Scandal delayed until midseason, and avoided elaborating further. I think this will need to really overachieve to be renewed. If it doesn't do better than Scandal does this season, then forget about a renewal. Which is why I think a cancelation is waiting.