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Summer Reality Shows Renew/Cancel Watch: 'The Bachelorette' Will be Returning, 'Coupled' Won't + MUCH MORE!

Summer Reality Shows Renew/Cancel Watch: Week 1


Show
Network
Prediction
Predicted
The Bachelorette
ABC
    
America’s Got Talent
NBC
    
American Ninja Warrior
NBC
    

MasterChef
FOX
    

Maya & Marty
NBC
   
Hotel Hell
FOX
   
So You Think You Can Dance
FOX
    
500 Questions
ABC
  
Coupled
FOX


ANALYSIS

So You Think You Can Dance:
So You Think You Can Dance started soft this past Memorial Day, premiering to a 1.0. This is not great at all, but it is not terrible for a Summer reality show. So, I am starting the show off as a Likely Renewal. Before I can make a firm prediction, I need to see how well it does in the following weeks, if it improves, if it drops etc. But if it stays in the 1.0-1.2 range it should be ok for a renewal.
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Maya & Marty:
Maya & Marty had a really good start on Tuesday, scoring a strong and stable 1.5. I have decided to start the show off as a Likely Renewal. If the show can stay where it is, and not drop too much, then no doubt it will return next Summer.
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America's Got Talent:
The show scored a fantastic 2.6 on Tuesday, which makes it no doubt Certain to be Renewed.
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Coupled:
After three weeks of scoring 0.5s, I have come to the decision to predict 'Coupled' as Certain to be Cancelled. Fox is not going to renew a show that is really far from syndication, and practically nobody is watching. Perhaps, if it manages to go up a few decimal points, Summer can save it but I am not sure on that. Stay tuned.
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The Bachelorette:
Being a Summer reality show, doing better than half of ABC's lineup during the regular season, it's no question, The Bachelorette is Certain to be Renewed.
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Hotel Hell:
Hotel Hell has had a modest run this Summer. It has received two 0.8s. Obviously, the show is cheap, and on FOX, and airing in the Summer. There is a good chance that Hotel Hell will return = Likely to be Renewed.
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MasterChef
MasterChef premiered last night to a steady 1.1. If FOX will renew a more expensive scripted show during the regular season pulling a 1.1, then they will definitely renew a cheap reality show during the Summer that earned that = Certain to be Renewed
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American Ninja Warrior:
Premiered extraordinarily well for a Summer reality show (high 1s), so, no doubt about it American Ninja Warrior is Certain to be Renewed.
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500 Questions:
Now here is where things get tricky. 500 Questions did "ok" enough to be renewed in its first few airings. But, then when the show aired over the weekend, it collapsed and pulled really low ratings, a 0.4 and a 0.7. Switching back to airing during the week this week, it has already gone up a ton scoring a 0.8 on Tuesday and Wednesday, and ABC would renew a 0.8. But the thing is, it has those low ratings factored into it. I am not quite yet sure where to put the show, so I have decided to place it as a Toss Up


What do you think of the predictions? Do you like the new format? Let me know in the comments below!

KEY:

     - Certain to be Renewed

     - Likely to be Renewed

   - Toss Up

  - Likely to be Cancelled

 - Certain to be Cancelled