WHAT'S NEW?
Loading...

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders' Has a Solid Sampling

CBS
Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of March 20, 2016.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

   Rank     
Show Title
    Season Low High /Average     
 Y2Y Change
1
The Big Bang Theory
--
--
2
NCIS
2.0 / 2.7 / 2.26
-5.8%
3
Life in Pieces
1.8 / 2.6 / 2.02
--
4
Scorpion
1.5 / 2.2 / 1.82
-20.9%
5
Criminal Minds
1.5 / 2.0 / 1.77
-29.2%
6
NCIS: New Orleans
1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75
-16.7%
7
Supergirl
1.3 / 3.1 / 1.74
--
8
Mom
1.5 / 1.8 / 1.69
-26.5%
9
2 Broke Girls
1.5 / 1.7 / 1.63
-18.5%
10
Mike & Molly
1.6 / 1.7 / 1.62
-16.9%
11
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders
- / 1.6 / 1.60
--
12
Angel from Hell
1.3 / 1.6 / 1.42
--
13
Limitless
1.1 / 1.9 / 1.39
--
14
NCIS: LA
1.1 / 1.6 / 1.34
-16.3%
15
Madam Secretary
1.0 / 2.0 / 1.28
-11.1%
16
Code Black
1.0 / 1.5 / 1.26
--
17
Blue Bloods
1.1 / 1.5 / 1.25
-3.8%
18
Hawaii Five-0
1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14
-5.0%
19
The Good Wife
0.9 / 1.4 / 1.06
-11.7%
20
Elementary
0.8 / 1.2 / 1.04
-20.0%
21
CSI: Cyber
0.7 / 1.1 / 0.91
-35.0%

Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders premiered to a solid 1.6 rating in the demo this week. While that's not of breakout-hit caliber, it's not a lazy effort by any means for what is easily CBS's highest rated 10pm scripted airing since NCIS: LA (1.6) on February 8, 2016. This result is 10 percent higher than Code Black's series premiere and season high (1.5), 33 percent higher than Code Black's season finale in February (1.2), and 60 percent above the special airing of CSI: Cyber (1.0) in the hour last week. The retention was a solid ~85 percent behind the Criminal Minds mothership. It's safe to say that this was a pretty OK result for a spinoff that had its share of low projections leading up to its premiere. The real test will be how it holds up in the coming weeks. Until more indicative data points are available, this one is destined for the bubble. Sadly for Code Black, the newest CBS drama entry didn't go down in flames in its first airing, which makes it a contender for renewal in the already-tight race.

What's your take on the Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders premiere numbers and its chances for renewal? Does Code Black still stand a chance with a decently-rated new show in the market and its 18 episodes slowly fading from the network and public's memory? Share your thoughts below.