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NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: New Year, New Predictions (UPDATED)


Hello everyone, it's Luke! Happy New Year and welcome to the first NBC Renew/Cancel Watch of 2016! Take a look below to see if your favorite NBC shows are in danger of cancellation:

* UPDATE (1/13): Heroes Reborn officially canceled by NBC


KEY
  • Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth)
[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower than average ratings


CANCELED
  • Heroes Reborn (1.3)
  • The Player (0.8)
  • Truth Be Told (0.6) [F]
CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED
  • NONE
LIKELY TO BE CANCELED
  • Heroes Reborn (1.3)
  • The Mysteries of Laura (1.1)
  • Undateable (0.8) [F]
ON THE BUBBLE
  • Grimm (0.9) [F]
  • Shades of Blue (1.8)
  • Telenovela (1.2)*
LIKELY TO BE RENEWED
  • Superstore (1.8)*
CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED
  • Chicago Med (2.0)
  • Law & Order: SVU (1.7)
RENEWED
  • The Blacklist (1.5)
  • Blindspot (2.3)
  • Chicago Fire (1.9)
  • Chicago P.D. (1.5)
* Average demos for 'Superstore' and 'Telenovela' w/o Dec. 28 numbers factored in (NBC will not be looking at those ratings to determine renewal/cancellation)


ANALYSIS

Superstore: With a strong 1.8 rating this Monday for its time slot premiere, I have decided to move up 'Superstore' from "on the bubble" to "likely to be renewed." Although this freshman comedy has only aired a few times, it already shows signs of being NBC's strongest comedy in a long time. Also, the network is now airing repeats of the show every Friday at 8:30, so it definitely seems as if they actually care about 'Superstore.' You will likely be seeing this show next season.

Telenovela: 'Telenovela' followed 'Superstore' with a mediocre 1.3 rating on Monday, which was actually enough for me to move this show from "likely to be canceled" to "on the bubble." I need more time to watch this show in its current time slot to determine its likely fate, so stay tuned in the upcoming weeks.

Shades of Blue: This Jennifer Lopez-led drama shocked all when it debuted to a 1.8 rating in NBC's notorious Thursday nights at 10 death slot, but since only one episode has aired, I am leaving 'Shades of Blue' on the bubble until I see the numbers for at least one or two more airings. 

Undateable: With the above-average performances of 'Superstore' and 'Telenovela' for NBC comedies, the fate of veteran 'Undateable' isn't looking too bright anymore. That is why I have decided to move it down from "on the bubble" to "likely to be canceled." It is not "certain" because there is always a chance the ratings of 'Superstore' and 'Telenovela' plummet, but until then, 'Undateable' will have to sit in "likely cancellation" territory.

QUESTION OF THE WEEK

Now that the new year is here, the season of Fall 2016 schedule predictions is also here. So with that being said, what is YOUR fantasy Fall 2016 schedule for NBC? Show me in the comments below!

If you haven't seen it already, here is a link to my schedule predictions for all of the networks: Luke's Fall 2016 Schedule Predictions