WHAT'S NEW?
Loading...

Are Ad Rates Directly Correlated to Ratings?--Full Fall Season Compilation UPDATED

So I gave you all the specifics (average ad rate, last year's scripted demo average, etc) in the individual network-specific posts. Now, I want to make a compilation simply of the the projected demos the shows would need to live up to the ad rates and compare them to how they are actually
doing so far. Ready?

Ratings through Tuesday, December 30.

ABC


Show Title Demo Rating Projected Ad Rating +/- Renew/Cancel Prediction
The Goldbergs
2.15
1.73
0.42
Renew
Dr Ken
1.24
0.81
0.43
Renew
Last Man Standing
1.25
0.83
0.42
Renew
Grey’s Anatomy
2.38
2.05
0.33
Renew
The Middle
2.03
1.80
0.23
Renew
The Muppets
1.53
1.68
-0.15
Toss Up
Fresh Off The Boat
1.51
1.56
-0.05
Renew
Blackish
1.86
1.99
-0.13
Renew
Scandal
2.52
2.65
-0.13
Renew
Nashville
1.03
1.19
-0.16
Toss Up
Quantico
1.45
1.78
-0.33
Renew
Modern Family
2.76
3.02
-0.26
Renew
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D
1.42
1.69
-0.27
Renew
Castle
1.13
1.51
-0.38
Cancel
Once Upon a Time
1.57
2.03
-0.46
Renew
Blood & Oil
0.96
1.70
-0.74
Cancel
How to Get Away with Murder
2.12
2.94
-0.82
Renew

CBS

Show Title Demo Rating Projected Ad Rating +/- Renew/Cancel Prediction
Madam Secretary
1.29
1.36
-0.07
Renew
The Good Wife
1.06
1.42
-0.36
Cancel
CSI: Cyber
0.86
1.21
-0.35
Cancel
Supergirl
1.86
2.41
-0.55
Cancel
Scorpion
1.81
2.04
-0.21
Renew
NCIS
2.22
2.22
0.00
Renew
NCIS: LA
1.26
1.62
-0.36
Toss Up
NCIS: NO
1.67
1.80
-0.13
Renew
Limitless
1.52
1.67
-0.15
Renew
Criminal Minds
1.67
1.99
-0.32
Renew
Code Black
1.27
1.92
-0.65
Cancel
The Big Bang Theory
3.97
4.07
-0.10
Renew
Life in Pieces
2.00
2.18
-0.18
Renew
Mom
1.63
1.86
-0.23
Renew
Elementary
0.97
1.55
-0.58
Cancel
Hawaii 5-0
1.07
1.15
-0.08
Renew
Blue Bloods
1.20
1.11
0.09
Renew
No data on 2 Broke Girls.

The CW


Show Title Demo Rating Projected Ad Rating +/- Renew/Cancel Prediction
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
0.29
0.46
-0.17
Cancel
Jane the Virgin  ~0.65 (W18-34)
0.50
0.15
Renew
The Flash
1.41
1.41
0.00
Renew
iZombie
0.57
0.69
-0.12
Toss Up
Arrow               1.04
0.96
0.01
Renew
Supernatural
0.74
0.71
0.03
Renew
The Vampire Diaries  ~ 0.84 (W18-34) 
0.90
-0.06
Renew
The Originals ~0.59 (W18-34)
0.65
-0.06
Renew
Reign  0.30 
0.39
-0.09
Renew

FOX

Show Title Demo Rating Projected Ad Rating +/- Renew/Cancel Prediction
Bob’s Burgers 1.16 (M18-34)
0.77
0.39
Already Renewed
The Simpsons 2.04 (M18-34)
1.82
0.22
Already Renewed
Brooklyn 9-9 1.49 (M18-34)
1.43
0.06
Renew
Family Guy 1.66 (M18-34)
1.68
-0.02
Renew
The Last Man On Earth 1.23 (M18-34)
1.33
-0.10
Toss Up
Gotham
1.51
1.85
-0.34
Renew
Minority Report
0.71
1.75
-1.04
Cancel
Grandfathered
1.06
1.28
-0.22
Toss Up
The Grinder
0.91
1.25
-0.34
Cancel
Scream Queens ~1.10 (W18-34)
1.69
-0.59
Cancel
Rosewood
1.63
1.05
0.58
Renew
Empire ~5.50 (W18-34)
3.48
2.02
Renew
Bones
1.14
1.08
0.06
Renew
Sleepy Hollow
0.91
1.42
-0.51
Cancel



NBC

Show Title Demo Rating Projected Ad Rating +/- Renew/Cancel Prediction
Blindspot
2.32
2.18
0.14
Renew
Chicago Fire
1.86
1.62
0.18
Renew
The Mysteries of Laura
1.11
0.78
0.33
Renew
Law & Order: SVU
1.64
0.98
0.66
Renew
Chicago PD
1.50
1.36
0.14
Renew
Heroes: Reborn 
1.35
1.47
-0.12
Toss Up
The Blacklist
1.50
2.07
-0.57
Renew
The Player
0.83
1.19
-0.36
Cancel
Undateable
0.77
0.55
0.22
Renew
Truth be Told
0.63
0.95
-0.32
Cancel
Grimm
0.93
1.15
-0.22
Toss Up
UPDATE 1/2: Chicago Med's estimated number is a 1.38, which is WAY below the 2.03 it has right now.


There you have it! What shows would you renew or cancel based on this list?